Below is a cartoon illustration of the negative branch versus the positive branch discussed in the video linked in the previous post and in our paper: https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.15870

As we discuss in the paper:

On the positive branch, the DAO is almost on top of the BAO but at a slightly larger scale, and it will shift the perceived peak of the BAO slightly to the positive side of the DAO.

On the negative branch, the BAO and the DAO peaks are well separated, but close; the characteristic tail of the DAO can shift the perceived position of the BAO in the opposite
direction away from the DAO. In this case, the main peak of the DAO is assumed to be at a sufficiently small scale where it could be hidden by non-linear systematics in currently publicly available DESI DR2 data.

Both the positive and negative branches could potentially be discoverable in future DESI data releases or upcoming surveys like Euclid, by either resolving the DAO peak that overlaps closely with the BAO, or identifying a shallow DAO peak on scales∼50Mpc/h somewhat smaller than the BAO, consistent with our predictions in our earlier work as a result of solving the Hubble tension: https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.03795

At a recent DESY (Hamburg) colloquium, I gave a review talk on “Resolving the Hubble Tension with New Early Dark Energy.”

I explained how the DESI anomaly might be connected to the Hubble tension and have an early-universe explanation in terms of dark acoustic oscillations. 

Link to: Slides + full video

The paper mentioned in the video clip below (now online): arXiv:2512.15870 — https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.15870

This builds on earlier work on New Early Dark Energy, with excellent collaborators: Florian Niedermann, Mathias Garny, Henrique Rubira, Aleksandr Chatrchyan, Juan Cruz, Emil Brinch Holm, Vivian Poulin, Thomas Tram, Steen Hannestad …

A new early-universe explanation of the DESI anomaly connecting to the predictions of our solution to the Hubble tension in collaboration with Mathias Garny and Florian Niedermann: https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.15870

The presence of a Dark Acoustic Oscillation (DAO) near the actual BAO may appear as a single BAO-only feature with a slightly shifted peak position, which could bias the DESI BAO measurements, thereby explaining the anomaly in the DESI DR2 data without invoking late-time-evolving Dark Energy. The DAO predicted in our model for solving the Hubble tension, Hot New Early Dark Energy (Hot NEDE) with Dark Radiation Matter Decoupling (DRMD), also meets the requirements for explaining the DESI results, as shown in the leftmost panel of the figure below. The green curve is the favoured DAO position by the DESI DR2 data on small scales, and the dotted black line is the prediction of DRMD in Hot NEDE, when solving the Hubble tension.

Screenshot 2025-12-19 at 07.52.54.png

New community report today uses different methods and techniques to establish the value of the Hubble constant to 1% precision, H0=73.50+/-0.81 km/s/Mpc, confirming the Hubble tension at more than 5-sigma.

This means that our current standard model of the Universe, the ΛCDM model, can not describe the real Universe as we observe it, and we must move to finding the correct model of our Universe replacing ΛCDM.

New Early Dark Energy (NEDE) has proven itself to be a promising framework in which to search for the solution to the Hubble tension (see previous posts), and we will keep intensifying our efforts to explore NEDE.

See the community report here: https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.23823

To make sense of the Hubble tension, it is essential to have a simple (in terms of ideas), convincing solution. In a new paper, we present a new microscopic Hot NEDE model of the dark sector based on well-known fundamental principles, gauge symmetry, and spontaneous symmetry breaking, which resolves the Hubble tension. We also discuss how this solution can be further tested with future precision data.

Profile likelihood curves for the model from our paper can be seen below.  

Work in collaboration with Mathias Garny, Florian Niedermann and Henrique Rubira.

The paper is on arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.03795.

“Simplicity is part of what I mean by beauty, but it is a simplicity of ideas, not simplicity of a mechanical sort that can be measured by counting equations or symbols.”

— Steven Weinberg

In a new paper, “I demonstrate that soft graviton modes in de Sitter are the Goldstone modes of the spontaneously broken asymptotic symmetry group of de Sitter. I then show that any local measurement, including the effects of the environment, will collapse the symmetric state onto the broken state in the large volume limit. In any discussion involving observers, de Sitter is, therefore, best described globally by the broken phase, while local observers, in the small volume limit, can not discriminate between different degenerate global vacuum states, and are therefore best described by the symmetric state. This illuminates the physical nature of soft graviton modes in de Sitter.”

As a bonus, I also speculate about the possibility that a new type of crystals, with the same symmetry-breaking pattern as discussed in the paper, could be realized in the laboratory as an analog system of de Sitter and eternal inflation.

The paper is on arXiv:  https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.03520

In an update of our recent paper with Aleksandr Chatrchyan, Florian Niedermann, and Vivian Poulin, we have included fits of Cold New Early Dark Energy (Cold NEDE) to the DESI BAO data. 

Using  CMB Planck Plik data, DESI BAO, and Pantheon+ data, we find around 2-sigma evidence for NEDE (see upper left panel below), which is enhanced to 6-sigma evidence when including SH0ES supernovae data (see upper right panel below). 

Without including SH0ES data, a value of H0=73 km/s/Mpc, compatible with SH0ES findings, is allowed within 2-sigma using Planck Plik, DESI BAO, and Pantheon+ data (see lower left panel below). Including SH0ES data, the Lambda-CDM preferred value of H0 less than 68 km/s/Mpc is excluded at 6-sigma in the Cold NEDE model.

For likelihoods with other dataset combinations, parameters, and discussion, see our full paper: https://arxiv.org/abs/2408.14537.

In a new paper “we explore the possibility that exotic forms of dark matter could expose humans on Earth or on prolonged space travel to a significant radiation dose. The radiation exposure from dark matter interacting with nuclei in the human body is generally assumed to be negligible compared to other sources of background radiation. However, as we discuss here, current data allow for dark matter models where this is not necessarily true”. See: https://arxiv.org/abs/2411.10521